A lot is being written about the novel coronavirus but there is a lot of noise. Here I collect interesting parts.

Reporting

Datagraver publishes daily graphs with log scale about countries.

Modeling

It's hard to find references to models being used in the decision making. Here are some interesting ones I found:

This paper explains that there likely will be a second bigger wave after the initial distancing. It suggests that ICU capacity can be kept using multiple periods of distancing which would stretch the process more than 18 months.

The Flattening the Coronavirus Curve Is Not Enough post explains that even with distancing the ICU capacity is almost certainly going to be insufficient. It advocates for drastically repurposing existing manufacturing capabilities in countries towards medical supplies.

This website allows you to run simulations for different approaches to COVID-19.

Second Order Effects

• An interesting observation I've seen is that given the already low interest rates, we could see some countries adopting a Universal Basic Income as a form of continuous Helicopter Money. An example of this is the call in the USA to enact basic income.
• People are making art.
• Air pollution is decreasing globally.
• People are massively starting to volunteer.